weatherResolved · NOSource

Will Dar es Salaam receive measurable rainfall between 4:00 PM and 7:00 PM on July 14, 2026?

YES 0%leans no100% NO

Volume

TZS 2.4M

Predictors

Resolves

14 Jul 2026, 19:15

Resolution

Resolved · NO

15 Jul 2026, 10:45Source

Resolution is final

Final poolTZS 2,401,641

YES poolTZS 500

NO poolTZS 2,401,141

Platform feeTZS 167

Fee capped at33.3% × TZS 500

This poll was lopsided, so our commission was capped. 9% of the pool would have been TZS 216,148 — more than we allow ourselves to take — so we charged TZS 167, which is 33.3% of the smaller side. We never take more than a third of what you win.

Your own payout is shown under Your positions above.

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Resolution criterion

Resolves YES if Weather Underground's hourly station data for Dar es Salaam (Julius Nyerere International Airport station, HTDA) records ≥ 0.1 mm (0.01 in) of precipitation in any single hour between 16:00 and 18:59 EAT on July 14, 2026. Resolution is based on the Weather Underground hourly history page for Dar es Salaam on that date.

https://www.wunderground.com/hourly/tz/dar-es-salaam

Discussion

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